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“Cumulative Deterrence” and the Evolution of Relations Between Egypt and Israel
Author(s): LIU Huaqing, Institute of Boundary and Ocean Studies, Wuhan University
Pages: 139-
157+160
Year: 2020
Issue:
4
Journal: Arab World Studies
Keyword: "Cumulative Deterrence"; Egypt-Israel Relations; Israel; Middle East Wars;
Abstract: The "cumulative deterrence " paradigm is put forward by scholars including Doron Almog and Thomas Rid based on the historical practice between Israel and Arab countries such as Egypt and Syria. This theory holds that "responding to every challenge from the enemies " and "shaping a powerful image through continuous victories"are conditions of success of "cumulative deterrence",while it does not fully present the dynamic and procedural characteristics of "cumulative deterrence ".Therefore,this article introduces"learning mechanism"aiming to improve it. Regarding the mechanism of "cumulative deterrence ",Egypt,Syria and other countries have constantly updated their awareness of Israel ’s national strength and determination to deterrence during the war interaction. The evolution of the relations between Egypt and Israel from 1948 to the 1980 s showed that when Egypt,Syria and other countries had realized that Israel had a strength advantage and high credibility of deterrence,"cumulative deterrence"would be effective; when these two conditions are not met at the same time,the result is the opposite..
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