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Regime Insecurity: Understanding the Roots of Conflict in the Gulf
Author(s): Tim NIBOC, University of Exeter
Pages: 3-
15+118
Year: 2019
Issue:
1
Journal: Arab World Studies
Keyword: Conflicts in the Gulf; Regime Insecurity; Qatar; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates;
Abstract: The resolution of the conflicts in the Gulf region requires an understanding,on the part of each of the regional states,of the security concerns of the others. Security concerns have provided the dynamic which has driven conflict,rather than the factors of Sunni-Shiite rivalry and antipathy — or perhaps ideological rivalry or competition in oil markets — which are often given attention. Since the Arab Spring in 2011,for the Arab monarchies of the Gulf,the change in legitimacy discourse has been fundamental. Security in all cases is a defining factor in the process — both in terms of the dynamics which brought the process into being,and as an instrument subsequently used to rally popular support and ensconce a new national political base/formation. In Qatar,the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia,key leaders have shaped new narratives based on the security imperative,where the strategy combines defending the state,securing the future of the regime,strengthening the leader’s own position within the ruling hierarchy,and seeking to resolve some of the problems undermining and weakening the coherence of the state. External powers intent on engaging productively with the region need to recognize the central role played by regime insecurity,and to promote regional frameworks of pan-Gulf cooperation which can provide assurance to the regimes and lessen the insecurities.
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