Implementing the Universal Two-child Policy as soon as Possible Is a Win-win Policy for both the Nation and People
Author(s): ZENG Yi, National School of Development, Peking University, Center for Study of Aging and Human Development, School of Medicine of Duke University
Pages: 115-126
Year: 2015 Issue: 5
Journal: Population & Economics
Keyword: universal two-child policy; population quantity and structure; population aging; labor force; balanced development;
Abstract: Based on present reality,objective existing demographic laws,and analysis on 2010 census and other recent data,we propose to start as soon as possible the preparation in 2015 and implementation of the universal two-child policy in 2016 in nationwide rural and urban areas. More specifically,we suggest that in the less developed rural areas,while universally allowing farmers to have their second child,the family planning program may encourage adequate spacing to avoid birth heaping; in the urban and more developed rural areas where late-childbearing and low fertility have become a normal social practice,the universal two-child policy should be implemented with no need to encourage birth spacing. We demonstrated that the universal two-child policy will not only satisfy people’s desires for two children but also absolutely not-causing birth heaping,and it is a win-win policy for both the nation and people. As compared to the current fertility policy,the universal twochild policy is much better in some aspects of future demographic and socioeconomic conditions,and it is much more useful to strengthen the balanced socioeconomic development in China.
Pages: 115-126
Year: 2015 Issue: 5
Journal: Population & Economics
Keyword: universal two-child policy; population quantity and structure; population aging; labor force; balanced development;
Abstract: Based on present reality,objective existing demographic laws,and analysis on 2010 census and other recent data,we propose to start as soon as possible the preparation in 2015 and implementation of the universal two-child policy in 2016 in nationwide rural and urban areas. More specifically,we suggest that in the less developed rural areas,while universally allowing farmers to have their second child,the family planning program may encourage adequate spacing to avoid birth heaping; in the urban and more developed rural areas where late-childbearing and low fertility have become a normal social practice,the universal two-child policy should be implemented with no need to encourage birth spacing. We demonstrated that the universal two-child policy will not only satisfy people’s desires for two children but also absolutely not-causing birth heaping,and it is a win-win policy for both the nation and people. As compared to the current fertility policy,the universal twochild policy is much better in some aspects of future demographic and socioeconomic conditions,and it is much more useful to strengthen the balanced socioeconomic development in China.
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