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Research on the Potential Economic Growth and Natural Employment Based on Capital-driven Theory
Pages: 99-112
Year: Issue:  2
Journal: The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics

Keyword:  经济增长 潜在增长率 自然就业率 修正的奥肯定律;
Abstract: 在资本驱动的假设下,本文提出了由资本量决定的潜在增长率、自然就业率等概念。并在对奥肯定律重新修正之后,用中国的经济数据建立了相应的模型并加以验证。计算发现中国近年来的潜在增长率高于实际增长率,而模型结果显示实际增长率高于潜在增长率1%,实际就业率会上升1.47%,从而对我国高失业高增长的并存提供了有力的解释。
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