Author(s): Zhou Xueren, Research Academy of Economic and Social Development, Center for Public Policy Research, Dongbei University of Finance and Economic, Dalian, 116025, Cai Tiantian, Graduate School, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian, 116025)
Pages: 91-97
Year: 2012 Issue:  9
Journal: Science & Technology for Development
Keyword:  “十二五”;  投资规模;  合理空间;
Abstract: 本文基于灰色理论以及增量资本产出率和经济增长目标,确定了"十二五"时期我国投资规模的合理空间。结果表明,当投资率不小于23.7%时,我国投资与GDP构成的灰色系统才会保持稳定增长的状态;在既定经济增长目标和增量资本产出率波动空间的约束下,"十二五"时期我国投资率的合理空间为[27.91%,41.86%];目前我国实际投资率已经突破了合理投资率的上限,我国投资率急需进行向下调整。