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The Demand-forecasting Model of Benefit of Basic Old-age Insurance For Urban Employees: the Application of Xi'an City
Author(s): 
Pages: 55-63
Year: Issue:  5
Journal: THE JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE & TECHNICAL ECONOMICS

Keyword:  基本养老保险金需求需求主体养老保险金需求预测模型;
Abstract: 本文根据我国基本养老保险制度从"现收现付制"向"部分积累制"转轨过程中,"新人"、"中人"、"老人"共存的国情,在界定城镇职工基本养老保险金需求概念的基础上,分析了影响我国城镇职工基本养老保险金需求的9个主要参数,构建了城镇职工基本养老保险金需求的预测模型,并应用模型对西安市城镇职工基本养老保险金需求进行了预测,以期探索城镇职工基本养老保险金需求的预测方法.
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