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Possibility and Difficulty of Democratization in the Middle East
Author(s): 
Pages: 39-43
Year: Issue:  3
Journal: ARAB WORLD STUDIES

Keyword:  大中东民主计划可能性艰巨性;
Abstract: 自从美国的"大中东"民主计划提出后,中东民主化已在阿拉伯-伊斯兰世界产生了较大的影响.本文试从理论角度分析中东民主化进程,认为它主要受四个因素制约,一是伊斯兰与民主既相容又不相容;二是美国的中东政策发生了变化,从"例外论"到"改造论",从"文明冲突论"到"第三波"民主浪潮,但双重标准不会改变;三是民主和反恐不是相辅相成的;四是现代化与民主并非成正比.因此,中东民主化的实现将是个漫长而艰巨的过程.
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