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Year:
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Issue:
TIME SERIES EVOLUTION FORECASTING MODEL OF SLOPE DEFORMATION BASED ON MULTIPLE FACTORS
Author(s):
ZHENG Dong-jian
,
GU Chong-shi
,
Wu Zhong-ru
Pages:
3180
-
3184
Year:
2005
Issue:
17
Journal:
CHINESE JOURNAL OF ROCK MECHANICS AND ENGINEERING
Keyword:
边坡工程
;
边坡变形
;
降雨
;
时变模型
;
预测
;
Abstract:
在深入分析边坡变形的影响因素及因子模式的基础上,通过融合回归分析和递推模型的优点,结合边坡位移时间序列实测资料,建立了边坡变形的多因素回归时变预测模型,并考虑了降雨和温度变化的影响.通过模型的预测值与实测数据的对比分析,可以监控边坡的变形和稳定性.工程实例表明,该方法具有预测精度较高且实时性强等特点,有较大的应用价值.
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