The server is under maintenance between 08:00 to 12:00 (GMT+08:00), and please visit later.
We apologize for any inconvenience caused
Login  | Sign Up  |  Oriprobe Inc. Feed
China/Asia On Demand
Journal Articles
Laws/Policies/Regulations
Companies/Products
Bookmark and Share
Practical optimum combined power system mid-long term load forecast based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Author(s): 
Pages: 18-22
Year: Issue:  3
Journal: ELECTRIC POWER

Keyword:  负荷预测综合模型AHP法自适应进化规划;
Abstract: 针对中长期电力负荷预测特点,提出一种基于AHP(层次分析法)的中长期电力负荷预测最优综合模型.以历史数据的拟合精度、预测结果与未来经济社会发展的一致性、预测者对模型的信赖度为目标准则;通过自适应进化规划和判断矩阵的方法确定综合模型的最优权重.基于AHP的最优综合模型不仅依靠科学计算,而且也考虑了专家经验,将基于AHP的最优综合模型的预测结果与传统综合模型的预测结果相比,误差较小,精度较高,在实用中取得了满意的结果.
Related Articles
No related articles found