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Application of Autoregressive Model to Monthly Runoff Probability Forecast
Author(s): 
Pages: 74-76
Year: Issue:  2
Journal: HYDROPOWER AUTOMATION AND DAM MONITORING

Keyword:  自回归模型概率预报三峡电站;
Abstract: 把自回归模型用于月径流过程概率预报中.首先根据历史径流的概率分布利用自回归模型预报出一个概率,再根据这个预报出的概率进行径流概率预报.并把这种方法用于三峡电站的入库径流预报中,取得了较好的效果.
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