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wo guo mian hua gong gei fan ying yan jiu ji yu nerlove mo xing he mian ban shu ju de gong gei dan xing fen xi
Author(s): 
Pages: 60-62+66
Year: Issue:  8
Journal: China Price

Keyword:  棉花供给Nerlove模型广义矩估计动态面板;
Abstract: 本文基于Nerlove模型,利用我国11个棉花主产区2004-2014年的省际面板数据,运用动态面板GMM估计方法对我国的棉花供给反应进行定量分析。结果显示,棉花供给的价格短期弹性和长期弹性较高,表明棉花价格的大幅波动不利于棉花种植面积的稳定;棉花供给的化肥价格弹性较高,劳动力价格弹性显著,表明化肥价格和劳动力价格上涨是近年棉农植棉积极性下降的重要原因。
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