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A New Method on Time Series of Weather and Climate to Diagnose the Features of Extreme Value
Author(s): 
Pages: 343-351
Year: Issue:  3
Journal: CHINESE JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

Keyword:  气候极值天气气候时间序列平稳过程交叉理论气候诊断;
Abstract: 将平稳过程的交叉理论用于天气气候极值分析,提出了一种诊断天气气候时间序列极值特征量的新方法,在正态假设下,推证出天气气候记录中,极值出现频数、持续时间和等待时间的估计公式,论证了极值出现频数与其频谱结构的对应关系及其相互推算方法.实例应用表明,其理论计算值与实测值相当一致,这种方法对于气候变化诊断与预测和天气预报具有很强的实用价值.
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