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Based on the fuzzy clustering algorithm to model for load forecasting
Author(s): 
Pages: 3044-3047
Year: Issue:  z1
Journal: East China Electric Power

Keyword:  load forecastingfuzzy clusteringsimilarity matrixfuzzy feature;
Abstract: 采用模糊聚类算法建立模型,进行负荷预测的研究.负荷预测方法为时间负荷预测法,进行了大量的搜集历史数据工作,并对历史数据进行加工处理,提炼出负荷变化的若干种典型模式.然后,再通过待测环境特征和历史环境特征之间的比较,判断出与哪个历史类最为接近,从而判断该时段的电力负荷与历史类所对应的预测变量具有相同的变化模式.最后,利用影响负荷变化的相关因素的未来状态去判断未来负荷变化属于哪种模式,从而达到预测的目的.针对某地区的负荷预测中,提出了以模糊因果聚类理论为基础的方案.
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