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Application of Chaotic Dynamics Model in Fire Loss Prediction
Author(s): 
Pages: 94-97
Year: Issue:  6
Journal: Journal of Gansu Sciences

Keyword:  Chaotic Dynamics ModelFire DamagePrediction;
Abstract: 为了验证混沌动力学模型在火灾损失预测中是否具有实用价值,以消防部提供的湖南省1990 2001年的火灾损失统计数据为基础,通过建立混沌动力学模型对2002年的火灾损失数值进行了预测,并将预测结果与实际统计数据进行对比,从而得出混沌动力学模型在火灾预测中具有计算量小、精度较高的优点,可以在实际过程中广泛应用.
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