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Research on a Predicting Method of Short Message Data Quantity
Author(s): 
Pages: 720-722
Year: Issue:  6
Journal: JOURNAL OF INNER MONGOLIA UNIVERSITY(ACTA SCIENTIARUM NATURALIUM UNIVERSITATIS NEIMONGOL)

Keyword:  时间序列短信数据相空间重构预测;
Abstract: 评估网络处理能力是否满足短信增加量,关键之处是及时、准确完成短信数据量的预测.本文根据短信数据量时间序列的非线性性质,给出了一种预测方法.这种方法基于相空间重构,应用混沌时间序列的加权一阶局域法单步预测模型预测短信数据量.以全国2004年1月到2007年1月的月短信数据量为实例进行计算分析,通过Matlab仿真,得出相对误差在0.017~0.08以内.
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