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Assessment and Projection for Spatial-Temporal Distribution of Precipitation in China Based on Global Climate Models
Pages: 398-404
Year: Issue:  6
Journal: Advances in Climate Change Research

Abstract: 使用观测和多模式集合的降水资料,评估全球气候模式对中国降水时空分布特征的模拟能力,并给出21世纪的预估.结果表明:全球气候模式在一定程度上能够再现中国地区降水的分布型,也能模拟出降水的区域性差异,对年降水10年、20年尺度的周期变化模拟效果较好.21世纪SREs A1B情景下中国年及夏季降水主要模态以全国一致型为主,2045年前后由少雨型转为多雨型;冬季降水为少雨型与多雨型交替出现.
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