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Contrastive analysis of reserves increasing prediction models
Pages: 21-23,5
Year: Issue:  5
Journal: Journal of Xi'an Petroleum Institute(Natural Scien

Keyword:  reserves increasingprediction modelWeng cycle modelthe Compartz modelthe Logistic modelthe Gauss modelSubei Basin;
Abstract: Based on the researches of reserve increasing prediction models at home and abroad,the geological signification of the parameters in each prediction model and the control of them to the shape of the prediction curve are analyzed,and the studied models include Weng cycle,the Compartz model,the Logistic model and the Gauss model.The four models are used for forecasting the petroleum reserve increasing tendency of Subei Basin.The prediction results show that to 2030 year,the proved degree of the petroleum resource in this area will reach to about 95%.Through comparing,it is held that Weng cycle and Compartz model are more suitable for forecasting the reserve increasing of the petroliferous basins in China than he Logistic model and the Gauss model.
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