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yong zui xiao ping fang qu shi ji jie cheng fa mo xing dui er tong yi yuan chu yuan bing ren jin xing yu ce fen xi
Author(s): 
Pages: 254-256
Year: Issue:  3
Journal: Chinese Journal of Hospital Statistics

Abstract: 目的 预测医院住院病人工作量,为医院管理决策提供科学依据. 方法 利用我院统计室2004-2008年的年度统计报表资料,采用最小平方趋势季节乘法模型,建立月度预测模型,对未来出院人次进行预测. 结果 出院人数报告期与基期相比,增长了80.3%,所求得的趋势直线方程为:T=1 936.3+12.6t.预测2009年出院人次增长12.1%. 结论 用最小平方法建立月度预测模型,对未来出院人次进行预测,...
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