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Application of Dempster-Shafer Evidence Theory to Target Intention Prediction
Author(s): 
Pages: 17-22
Year: Issue:  1
Journal: Journal of Air Force Engineering University(Natural Science Edition)

Keyword:  D-S证据理论目标意图预测态势元素;
Abstract: 为了在预警机中准确对目标意图进行预测,以便我方及时合理的作出战术决策,采用D-S证据理论对目标意图进行预测.首先提取出影响目标意图预测的各个态势因素,然后分析每个因素的影响效果.在此基础上建立目标意图预测的数学模型,利用D-S合成法则将所有因素的影响进行综合,并计算出各个可能命题的概率赋值并给出相应决策.仿真实例表明:融合后的不确定概率有较大幅度的下降,得到了合理的目标意图预测结论,文中的方法可扩展为多个目标编队的意图预测.
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