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A Research into Listed Companies' Credit Default Probability Prediction Model Based on Logistic Regression Analysis
Author(s): 
Pages: 144
Year: Issue:  2
Journal: Economic Survey

Keyword:  Logistic回归模型信贷违约概率预测模型财务指标;
Abstract: 本文利用Logistic回归分析建立了上市公司信贷违约概率预测模型,通过选取样本数据、测试数据、年度配比数据和反映公司的偿债、举债经营和运作资金的能力的15个上市公司财务指标,首先使用样本数据和测试数据对模型进行了分析和检验,其次分别通过改变数据的配比方式、年度数据来观察模型预测分类结果,检验模型的历史预测能力,最后根据全文分析得出相关结论.
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