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Fuel distribution optimization of the generation group considering the uncertainty of the spot market
Author(s): TAO Wen-bin, ZHANG Li-zi, SHU Juan, HUANG Xian-chao, ZHOU Ming
Pages: 35-
39
Year: 2007
Issue:
11
Journal: RELAY
Keyword: 电力市场; 不确定性; 燃料优化; 随机期望值; 混合智能;
Abstract: 燃料成本占发电总成本的比重极大.电力工业市场化改革使得发电企业面临的不确定性增加.如何应对市场不确定性,优化燃料配给,最大化自身利益是发电集团亟待解决的问题.建立了发电集团参与多个市场(或同一市场不同价区)竞争时,以集团利润期望最大为目标,虑及现货市场电价和上网电量不确定性的燃料配置优化的随机期望值模型,并以随机模拟、神经网络和遗传算法相结合的混合智能算法进行求解.实践和算例分析表明,该模型和算法能有效地解决市场环境下发电集团燃料的优化配置.
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